Ecological barriers mediate spatiotemporal shifts of bird communities at a continental scale

Marjakangas, E.; Bosco, L.; Versluijs, M.; Xu, Y.; Santangeli, A.; Holopainen, S.; Mäkeläinen, S.; Herrando, S.; Keller, V.; Voříšek, P.; Brotons, L.; Johnston, A.; Princé, K.; Willis, S.G.; Aghababyan, K.; Ajder, V.; Balmer, D.; Bino, T.; Ali, B.K.; Chodkiewicz, T.; Carlos, d.J.; Dumbović, M.V.; Ferrarini, A.; Godinho, C.; Gustin, M.; Kalyakin, M.; Knaus, P.; Kuzmenko, T.; Lindstroem, A.; Maxhuni, Q.; Molina, B.; Nagy, K.; Radišić, D.; Rajkov, S.; Rajković, D.Z.; Raudonikis, L.; Sjeničić, J.; Stoychev, S.; Szép, T.; Teufelbauer, N.; Ursul, S.; van_Turnhout Ch, A.M.; Voltzit, O.; Jostein, Ø.I.; Sudfeldt, C.; Gerlach, B.; Lehikoinen, A.

Авторы: Marjakangas E-L, Bosco L., Versluijs M., Xu Ya, Santangeli A., Holopainen S., Mäkeläinen S., Herrando S., Keller V., Voříšek P., Brotons L., Johnston A., Princé K., Willis S.G., Aghababyan K., Ajder V., Balmer D., Bino T., Ali Boyla K., Chodkiewicz T., Carlos del Moral J., Dumbović Mazal V., Ferrarini A., Godinho C., Gustin M., Kalyakin M., Knaus P., Kuzmenko T., Lindstroem A., Maxhuni Q., Molina B., Nagy K., Radišić D., Rajkov S., Rajković D.Z., Raudonikis L., Sjeničić J., Stoychev S., Szép T., Teufelbauer N., Ursul S., van_Turnhout Ch A.M., Voltzit O., Jostein Øien I., Sudfeldt Ch, Gerlach B., Lehikoinen A.
Журнал: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
Том: 120
Номер: 23
Год издания: 2023
Издательство: National Academy of Sciences
Местоположение издательства: United States
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2213330120
Аннотация: Species’ range shifts and local extinctions caused by climate change lead to community composition changes. At large spatial scales, ecological barriers, such as biome boundaries, coastlines, and elevation, can influence a community's ability to shift in response to climate change. Yet, ecological barriers are rarely considered in climate change studies, potentially hindering predictions of biodiversity shifts. We used data from two consecutive European breeding bird atlases to calculate the geographic distance and direction between communities in the 1980s and their compositional best match in the 2010s and modeled their response to barriers. The ecological barriers affected both the distance and direction of bird community composition shifts, with coastlines and elevation having the strongest influence. Our results underscore the relevance of combining ecological barriers and community shift projections for identifying the forces hindering community adjustments under global change. Notably, due to (macro)ecological barriers, communities are not able to track their climatic niches, which may lead to drastic changes, and potential losses, in community compositions in the future.
Добавил в систему: Волцит Ольга Викторовна

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Ecological barriers mediate spatiotemporal shifts of bird communities at a continental scaleстатья

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