RUSSIA AND GLOBAL GREEN TRANSITION. RISKS AND OPPORTUNITIES. World Bank group and HSE university. 2021

Makarov, I.; Besley, D.; Dudu, H.; Boratyński, J.; Chepeliev, M.; Golub, E.; Nemova, V.; Stepanov, I.; Ptichnikov, A.; et al.

Авторы: Makarov Igor, Besley Daniel, Dudu Hasan, Boratyński Jakub, Chepeliev Maksym, Golub Elena, Nemova Vladislava, Stepanov Ilya, Ptichnikov Andrey, et al.
Год издания: 2021
Издательство: World Bank
Местоположение издательства: Washington, D.C., United States
Объём: 110 страниц (6,0 печатных листов)
Монография
Научно-популярное издание
Аннотация: Greener economic development in Russia will allow the country to overcome the limits of its current fossil fuel-dependent growth model. It can deliver prosperity to Russia’s citizens that is more sustainable and more resilient to external shocks in a rapidly changing global economy. The choices toward carbon neutrality made by an increasing number of countries and companies bring a new wave of uncertainty to the value of fossil fuel assets. This uncertainty is likely to result in lower and more volatile revenue from exports of hydrocarbons and energy-intensive industrial products. The launch of the European Green Deal and China’s commitment to carbon neutrality are a few examples of external action by Russia’s main trading partners that may soon affect the competitiveness of Russian exports. The preferences of global consumers and investors are also changing, and green technologies and business models are disrupting more markets, including those where Russia revealed its global comparative advantage. Not surprisingly, countries that decided to lead climate action to reach the goals of the Paris Agreement are concerned that their unilateral increase of ambition will lead to “leakage” of emissions to countries that allow unconstrained greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. The European Union (EU) has proposed a carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) as a companion to its ambitious policy package to accelerate green transition before 2030. Canada and Japan are also considering similar trade measures. Reducing the environmental footprint of economic activities becomes a decisive factor in international competitiveness and in the ability to attract international finance and investment. Being part of a green transformation not only hedges risk for Russia, but is also an opportunity to boost long overdue diversification and modernization of its economy and create new knowledgeintensive and productive sectors and jobs.
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