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Simulation of high-energy radiation belt electron fluxes using NARMAX-VERB coupled codesстатья
Статья опубликована в высокорейтинговом журнале
Статья опубликована в журнале из списка Web of Science и/или Scopus- Авторы: Pakhotin P., Drozdov A.Y., Shprits Y.Y., Boynton R.J., Subbotin D., Balikhin M.A.
- Журнал: Journal of Geophysical Research
- Год издания: 2014
- Издательство: William Byrd Press for John Hopkins Press
- Местоположение издательства: United States
- DOI: 10.1002/2014JA020238
- Аннотация: This study presents a fusion of data-driven and physics-driven methodologies of energetic electron flux forecasting in the outer radiation belt. Data-driven NARMAX model predictions for geosynchronous orbit fluxes have been used as an outer boundary condition to drive the physics-based VERB code, to simulate energetic electron fluxes in the outer radiation belt environment. The coupled system has been tested for three extended time periods totalling several weeks of observations. The time periods involved periods of quiet, moderate and strong geomagnetic activity and captured a range of dynamics typical of the radiation belts. The model has successfully simulated energetic electron fluxes for various magnetospheric conditions. Physical mechanisms that may be responsible for the discrepancies between the model results and observations are discussed.
- Добавил в систему: Дроздов Александр Юрьевич