Emotions and Prediction In a Casino game: the pilot study

Krasavtseva, Y.V.; Chimiris, M.

Авторы: Krasavtseva Y.V., Chimiris M.
Сборник: Book of Abstracts: XVI European Congress of Psychology (ECP 2019) (2‒5 July, 2019, Lomonosov Moscow State University)
Тезисы
Год издания: 2019
Издательство: Izdatel'stvo Moskovskogo Gosudarstvennogo Universiteta im.M.V.Lomonosova/Publishing House of Moscow State University
Местоположение издательства: Russian Federation
Первая страница: 718
Аннотация: Anticipatory emotions, consisting of cognitive and affective components, play a role in decision-making, especially when the predicted outcome of an event is either validated or invalidated, prompting an affective response (Miceli, Castelfranchi, 2015). The aim of this study was to examine relations between anticipatory emotions, predictions, affective reactions and personality traits in the context of risky decision-making. 119 undergraduate students and adults participated in this pilot study, aged 17 to 50 (m=23.61), 81% women. The following questionnaires were employed: Personal Decision-Making Factors (Kornilova, 2003); Impulsiveness Scale (Eysenck et al., 1985); and the Subjective Risk Intelligence Scale (Craparo et al., 2018). A new experimental decision-making task was introduced: Emotions and Prediction In a Casino game (EPIC). Participants were given a roulette representation of a risky choice and asked to predict the outcome as well as to rate their emotions before and after the game using the Self-Assessment Manikin (Bradley, Lang, 1994). In a low-risk scenario (7/8 chances to win) anticipatory pleasure was significantly negatively correlated with the result prediction (-.298). In a riskier scenario (6/8 chances to win) anticipatory arousal was negatively correlated with the pleasure emotion (-.326) and vice versa (-.265). A higher result prediction was linked to a lower pleasure reaction (-.437). In all scenarios, pleasure (.492), arousal (.590) and dominance (.551) before and after the result were positively correlated. Impulsiveness was significantly negatively correlated with reactive pleasure (-.499) in a low-risk roulette scenario, and positively related to anticipatory pleasure (.449) in a no-risk scenario. Empathy was negatively related to anticipatory (-.361) and reactive arousal (-.358). Emotional stress vulnerability and negative attitude toward uncertainty were both negatively correlated with anticipatory and reactive arousal and dominance, in low-risk and no-risk scenarios. Rationality was positively associated with outcome prediction (.356) and reactive arousal (.343). Risk readiness correlated positively with anticipatory pleasure (.380) and negatively with anticipatory arousal (-.367). Higher anticipatory pleasure associated with lower result expectations and significant correlations between anticipatory and reactive emotions suggest a strong link between cognitive and affective components in risky decision-making. Supported by the Russian Foundation for Basic Research, project 17-06-00130.
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