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Интеллектуальная Система Тематического Исследования НАукометрических данных |
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The contribution of Working Group I, in particular, considered the temperature goals contained in the Paris Agreement (not exceeding the average global air temperature in the near-surface layer of 2°C and 1.5°C relative to pre-industrial values) and, using climate models, assessed the possibility of achieving these goals under different scenarios of global anthropogenic emissions of climatically active substances. At the same time, it was found that under some scenarios with low global emissions, it is possible to keep the temperature within the limits described in the Paris Agreement (even if with exceedance for a short period of time), while under other scenarios this is impossible. At the same time, low-emission scenarios require very radical and rapid reductions in global greenhouse gas emissions. We are enthusiastically awaiting the assessment of risks to natural and socio-economic systems associated with climate change, which will soon be presented by Working Group II. Its mandate also includes assessing the adaptive capacity of systems and sectors to climate change, as well as the global development pathways that are resilient to climate change. Finally, Working Group III, in particular, will evaluate the technological aspects and financial implications of measures needed to radically limit the anthropogenic impact on the climate system that are critical to decision-making at both global and country levels.