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GEOPOLITICS, NUCLEAR ISSUES AND THE MIDDLE EAST MOSCOW, 31 OCTOBER 2018 MARRIOTT TVERSKAYA HOTEL AGENDA 09:00 – 09:30 WELCOMING REMARKS • Dr Vitaly Naumkin, President, Institute of Oriental Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences • Mark Fitzpatrick, Director, Non-Proliferation and Nuclear Policy Programme, IISS; Executive Director, IISS-Americas 09:30 – 11:00 Session 1 – IMPLICATIONS OF US WITHDRAWAL FROM THE JCPOA • Status of the JCPOA and prospects for alternative arrangements • Consequences of US withdrawal from the JCPOA • Response by states and firms to US secondary sanctions • Iran’s policy options and their implications 11:00 – 11:30 Coffee break 11:30 – 13:00 Session 2 - GEOPOLITICS IN THE MIDDLE EAST • Geopolitics in the Middle East since the US withdrawal from the JCPOA • The role of the United States in the region • The role of Israel in the region • Russia-Turkey-Iran relations • The future of Syria 13:00 – 14:00 Lunch 14:00 – 15:30 Session 3 – RUSSIA’S ROLE IN THE MIDDLE EAST • The role of Russia and China in the region • Russia’s interests and strategic vision for the Middle East • Impact of US policies on Russia’s actions in the Middle East • How regional countries view Russia’s role • Prospects for Russia playing a mediator or leadership role in the region 15:30 – 16:00 Coffee break 16:00 – 17:30 Session 4 - FUTURE TRENDS AND PRACTICAL POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS • Trendlines regarding nuclear issues and regional security • Priority issues of contention and overlapping interests • Practical policy solutions, including a regional security dialogue 19:00 – 21:00 WORKSHOP RECEPTION